In 2009, the haze of the financial crisis has continued to affect the market since the beginning of the year, and has particularly affected exports. However, under the background of the big policy of stimulating domestic demand, overseas sales and domestic trends, sales of medium- and heavy-duty trucks and large and medium-sized passenger vehicles from January to November have exceeded market expectations at the beginning of the year. In 2009, the commercial vehicle industry firmly adhered to the market and demonstrated its ability to resist risks and respond to the market. In 2010, whether the commercial vehicle industry can continue to maintain such an increase, it is still too early to be conclusive, but it should be possible to continue the upward trend.
Compared to previous years, China's commercial vehicles in the overseas market are clamoring for wind and rain, this year's export slump made many commercial vehicle companies a lot of low-key. From the export data, the year-on-year decline will be an irreversible fact. With the backdrop of repeated new lows in exports, how do we view the exports of commercial vehicles in 2009?
Decline Nearly 50 percent of trucks still pick up flags
According to data provided by the Automotive Branch of the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products, from January to September 2009, China exported a total of 246,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 55.4%; the export value was US$3.58 billion, a year-on-year drop of 50%. According to the October and November automobile export data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, in October, the number of auto exports was 36,300, a year-on-year decrease of 29.38%, and the export value was 425 million US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 45.32%. In November, the number of auto exports was 38,200, a year-on-year increase of 12%. This indicates that auto exports are gradually picking up, and it is expected that auto exports will be within 350,000 vehicles in the year, a decrease of nearly 50%.
"This year's auto export volume has fallen year-on-year, but from the point of view of export product structure, it still continues the previous pattern, and trucks are the leading models for exports," said Fu Peizhao, secretary general of the Automotive Branch of the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products.
Card and passenger car export pattern has not been changed
On the whole, truck exports continued the past with a large number of light trucks and a large amount of heavy trucks. Passenger car exports were relatively stable, and the export product pattern did not change fundamentally.
However, some changes have taken place in the exporting countries. The top 15 export countries are Algeria, Vietnam, Angola, and Germany (mainly export of Guangzhou Honda OEM), Iran, Libya, Nigeria, Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Kazakhstan, Italy, Peru, and Chile. Russia, which ranked first in 2008, fell outside the 15th. Judging from the export amount, Africa has become the most important export market for automobiles in China, accounting for 41.3% of total exports, followed by Asia (37.5%), Europe (11%), South America (7.8%), and Oceania (1.6%). ), North America (0.8%).
Although the data drop but not pessimistic
The decline of nearly 50% in the whole year does not mean that China’s auto exports have been devastated. "Firstly, from the monthly export data analysis, starting in April of this year, China's monthly automobile export volume is about 30,000 or so, which shows that China's auto exports have not continued to deteriorate, but rather relatively stable." Fu Peizhao said: "Change another From a point of view, looking at China’s auto exports from the global auto export market, we will see that the number and growth rate have decreased, but the market share is still relatively stable.â€
According to the statistics of a foreign professional trade statistics agency, according to the statistics of Customs Chapter 87 (vehicles and their parts and components, except railway vehicles), China’s automobile exports ranked 11th in the world with US$ 14.992 billion, although the year-on-year decline 36.57%, but the global (in the range of 87 customs tariffs within the export of goods) fell by an average of 44.5%, compared to 2007 and 2008, China's ranking also increased by one.
Trucks accounted for the largest proportion in the number and amount of automobile exports in China, which were 37.4% and 33.1% respectively. According to the analysis of customs tariff commodity 8704 (freight motor vehicles), China ranks 9th in the world with 1.274 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 46.31%, while the global average decline rate is 52.273%. Compared with 2007 and 2008, China's rankings are improved respectively. 5 and 3 digits.
“From an international perspective, the automotive export market has been affected by the financial crisis far beyond China. There has been a large-scale, widespread and deeper decline in the world’s international trade in automobiles. In contrast, although China’s auto exports have fallen by a large margin, Compared with the global automotive export market, China’s share of the global market in individual models and individual markets has risen rather than decreased. Therefore, China’s auto exports should not be blindly pessimistic and should have more confidence.†Fu Peizhao said: “The economy is often depressed. It is the time for companies to make strategic adjustments. China’s auto export companies should use this opportunity to re-examine the product strategies and sales strategies of overseas markets, improve product quality, and strengthen the construction of service outlets so that they can quickly follow the economic recovery. Progress has achieved better results in overseas markets."
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